Fundamental Analysis of Mobileye (MBLY)

Mobileye Global Inc. (Nasdaq: MBLY) is a prominent player in the automotive industry, renowned for its advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies. Founded in 1999, the Israeli company (Parent Company: Intel, since 2017) leverages computer vision, machine learning, and proprietary chips to develop solutions that enhance road safety and pave the way for self-driving cars. Mobileye’s innovative solutions have garnered significant attention in the automotive industry.

It recently  released its fourth-quarter and full-year 2023 financial results along with business highlights. Let’s delve into a detailed fundamental analysis of the company to understand its performance, growth prospects, and financial health.

Financial Performance:

  • Revenue: Grew 13% year-over-year to $637 million in Q4 2023, meeting expectations.
  • Profitability: Operating and Adjusted Operating Income improved significantly, despite a decline in Adjusted Gross Margin due to higher EyeQ SoC costs.
  • Earnings: Diluted EPS (GAAP) was $0.08 and Adjusted Diluted EPS (Non-GAAP) was $0.28 in Q4 2023.
  • Cash Flow: Generated strong net cash from operating activities of $394 million in 2023, boasting a healthy balance sheet with $1.2 billion in cash and no debt.
  • Guidance: Reaffirmed the preliminary 2024 outlook with revenue growth expected to be impacted by customer inventory build-up.

Business Highlights:

  • Business Development: Secured design wins projected to generate $7.4 billion of future revenue, demonstrating continued strong demand for its technology.
  • ADAS Business: Launched systems into approximately 300 vehicle models in 2023, expanding its market reach.
  • SuperVision™: Shipped over 100,000 units, secured new business awards, and expanded its vehicle model pipeline to 30.
  • Chauffeur™: Achieved first production program awards and secured 600,000 units of future volume based on current design wins.
  • ESG: Committed to building a robust ESG program, aiming to publish its first Corporate Sustainability Report in 2024.


  • Strong Financial Position:
    • Ample Cash Reserves ($1.2 billion): Provides a financial cushion for investments, acquisitions, and weathering economic downturns.
    • No Debt: Offers financial flexibility and avoids interest expenses, improving profitability.
  • Solid Track Record of Innovation:
    • Leader in ADAS and Autonomous Driving: Positions Mobileye to capitalize on future market growth.
    • Strong R&D Investment: Ensures continuous innovation and differentiation in a rapidly evolving field.
  • Growing Customer Base:
    • Expanding Partnerships with Major Automakers: Secures market share and recurring revenue streams.
    • Diversified Customer Portfolio: Reduces dependence on any single customer and mitigates risk.
  • Multiple Revenue Streams:
    • ADAS, SuperVision, and Chauffeur: Offers multiple avenues for growth and reduces reliance on any single product.
    • Recurring Revenue from Software and Services: Provides predictable income and strengthens financial stability.


  • Short-Term Revenue Impact:
    • Customer Inventory Build-up: Delays revenue recognition and impacts 2024 growth projections.
    • Uncertain Duration: Creates ambiguity about the long-term impact on revenue.
  • Profitability Challenges:
    • Balancing Cost Increases and Pricing: Higher EyeQ SoC costs pressure margins, requiring strategic pricing adjustments.
    • Need for Operational Efficiency: Optimizing costs and expenses is crucial for maintaining profitability.
  • Competition:
    • Stiff Competition from Established Players and New Entrants: Requires continuous innovation and differentiation to maintain market share.
    • Competitive Pricing Pressures: May limit pricing power and impact profitability.



  • Growing ADAS Market:
    • Increasing Demand for Safety Features: Drives market expansion and creates new revenue opportunities.
    • ADAS as a Stepping Stone to Autonomous Driving: Positions Mobileye well for future market leadership.
  • Expansion of SuperVision and Chauffeur:
    • Early Stage Technologies with High Growth Potential: Offer significant revenue upside as they mature and gain wider adoption.
    • First-Mover Advantage: Positions Mobileye to capture market share and establish brand leadership.
  • Partnerships and Acquisitions:
    • Collaboration with Complementary Companies: Accelerates development and expands market reach.
    • Strategic Acquisitions: Provides access to new technologies, talent, and customer segments.


  • Regulatory Hurdles:
    • Uncertain Regulatory Landscape for Autonomous Vehicles: Delays commercialization and creates compliance challenges.
    • Varying Regulations by Region: Requires navigating complex legal frameworks and adapting technologies accordingly.
  • Technological Advancements:
    • Rapidly Evolving Technology: Demands continuous innovation to stay ahead of the competition.
    • High R&D Costs: Maintaining technological leadership requires significant investments.
  • Economic Downturns:
    • Reduced Consumer Spending: Impacts auto sales and potentially dampens demand for ADAS and autonomous driving technologies.
    • Investor Risk Aversion: May limit access to capital for growth and expansion.

Overall, Mobileye remains a well-positioned leader in the autonomous driving space. While facing short-term challenges, its strong fundamentals, innovative technology, and diverse revenue streams offer promising long-term prospects.

Further Exploration

Disclaimer: This analysis is based on publicly available information and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

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